The Rural Guaranteed Minimum Income Initiative has three primary goals:
- Help lift rural Americans out of poverty with direct cash payments over the course of 16 months.
- Study the process of the GMI programs, so that the GMI playbook can be improved and repeated, for more people, in many more counties, over decades to come.
- Ensure we produce valid scientific data, which we will share with the entire world via https://ubidata.io.
This is our first update on the science part.
As with any rigorous research effort, what we see day-to-day never tells the whole story. People’s lives change over time, and those changes don’t move linearly. It’s only by looking over the long term, and listening to and analyzing experiences as they unfold, that broader patterns and meaning can come into view.
Residents of our first group of three rural American counties with income less than 200% of the federal poverty line were invited to volunteer for the program, with a lottery to determine final eligibility. Participants could also optionally volunteer to share how they used their GMI funds as part of an accompanying study, so that we can work together as a team to improve the program, for them, and for everyone else.
Mercer County, WV
Beaufort County, NC
Warren County, MS
Mercer County, West Virginia
Since the launch in October 2025, Mercer County filled all of the 562 available enrollment slots. Of those, 499 participants (89%) consented to be part of the study, and were sent a “baseline survey” to assess their current economic, social, emotional, and community health. 497 (99%) completed it.
In March 2026, a “Wave 1” progress survey was sent to the 499 people participating in the study, and 497 completed it (99%). In-depth “Round 1 qualitative interviews” were also completed, with 27 participants.
Wave 2 surveys were completed on June 2, and 481 (96%) participants completed them. Round 2 interviews and ethnographic fieldwork have also been completed, with 24 interviews along with seven ethnographic surveys.
Wave 3 surveys are currently under-way, and as of June 29, 450 participants (90%) have completed them.
Beaufort County, North Carolina
Since the launch in November 2025, Beaufort County filled 100% of the 559 available enrollment slots. 487 participants (87%) consented to be included in the research study, and 484 (99%) of the study participants have completed the baseline survey.
Wave 1 surveys are complete, with 475 participants completing them (98%). Wave 2 surveys are still on-going, with 464 (86%) participants responding.
Twenty-six Round 1 qualitative interviews have been completed. Round 2 interviews began in in July 2026.
Warren County, Mississippi
Since December 2025, Warren County filled 559 (100%) of its enrollment slots. 89% of them, 496, are participating in the research, and 98% of those completed the baseline survey.
Wave 1 surveys concluded with 475 (95%) of participants answering. Wave 2 surveys are currently underway, with 443 (89%) completed.
Thirty-one participants have completed their Round 1 interviews. Round 2 interviews will begin in October 2026.
These are remarkable numbers.
In order to be proper science, there’s no requirement to participate in the study in exchange for GMI money; there is no “quid pro quo”; there can’t be. But of the 1,680 people in this first RGMII project, 1,482 — almost 90 percent — are fully engaged in the study with us. Together, we can build a detailed picture of how people navigate a period with a guaranteed minimum income, and by their sheer numbers, learn about these three diverse and varied counties. Which will, in turn, inform the next group of three counties.
No study can be labeled a success until it’s complete. But we feel confident in calling this — in scientific terms — one hell of a start.
